Thursday, 14 January 2010


MORI released a poll indicating that the presidential race is far closer than anything (except me) thought. In a nation-wide survey, 50.1% of those polled say they support Piñera, while 49.9% support Frei.

What is more interesting, however, is little tidbit that got far less coverage. About 35% of those who voted for Marco Enríquez-Ominami in the first round say they are either undecided or will abstain in some way (blank vote, etc). If we assume that many of these will make up their minds in the next few days, or decide to vote strategically in one direction or another, the only conclusion is that all bets are off. We're three days from the election, and can only say that we have no clue as to what is going to happen. I only hope that it is not so close that we enter into some sort of national crisis, a sort of Florida or Mexico reloaded. I hope that whoever loses by one vote has the dignity to accept it.

Don't count on it.

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